Explore every session of The Long Council.
Europe must build AI capability through strategic state investment while liberalizing regulations to attract private talent and capital.
China wins from European degrowth while the planet loses.
The EU must impose targeted tariffs to counter China's $57 billion subsidies while building its own industrial capacity.
Trade barriers will slow European innovation more than they protect strategic industries.
China's surveillance system delivers measurable stability and development outcomes while systematically destroying individual agency and human rights protections.
China will likely overtake US GDP by 2030, but internal cohesion and institutional management matter more than raw economic size.
China's prosperity will generate demands for greater freedoms, but not necessarily Western-style democracy.
The Netherlands should set independent export limits based on Dutch security interests, not American strategic demands.
China's prosperity creates middle classes who want political voice, but the party can satisfy those demands without Western-style democracy.
Build what both superpowers need but cannot easily replace, then make them compete for access.
America faces an impossible choice between abandoning a democratic ally and risking war with a nuclear power.
Trump succeeds by the measures that matter to him but destroys the trust that makes democratic leadership possible.
China will become a major power equal to America, but whether it becomes the dominant hegemon depends on choices both powers have not yet made.
Vietnam can compete for manufacturing business, but only by building superior infrastructure first and accepting a complementary role to China rather than direct competition.
Taiwan must build military strength but through strategic ambiguity that raises occupation costs without revealing defensive plans.
Europe must build exit options from Chinese manufacturing through targeted subsidies, but not attempt full industrial autarky.
Military force would be strategically catastrophic for China, destroying decades of economic development while failing to achieve sustainable control over Taiwan.
Europe should deepen institutional unity first, then engage China economically while building independent strategic capabilities — but whether this balanced approach remains viable depends on forces beyond European control.